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0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 50% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 50%Verified PnL#307 of 624
Beats 72%30-day PnL#164 of 594
Beats 13%Win rate#515 of 592
Beats 64%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#222 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board40
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-28
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$52K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.35MVolume
41.6%Win rate (sample) · n=89
1.54%PnL ÷ Volume
$11K7-day PnL
$36K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$52.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,432partial
Liquidity rewards$157
1.56% ROI32.8% Win rate · n=174
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$100.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$89.8KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$27.6KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$19.0KWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- +$14.7KWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · No
- +$13.5KWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,898Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$3,897Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$3,897Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$3,897Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$3,896Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$52KVerified lifetime PnL
$15KEarned off the board
40Days on board
$38KBoard-day sum
$11K7-day PnL
$36K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $78 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $8K |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $28K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $249 |
Which boards
Sports 19Politics 11Weather 7Finance 4Culture 3Tech 3All markets 2Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
35% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (60% maker / 40% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio35%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$865
Taker rebate$567
Maker share60%
Taker share40%
Window2026-05-24 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$38K
Verified lifetime PnL$52K
Verification gap$15K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)