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Mustafalafel
0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 55% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$46K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$35.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$15.5KWill Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Yes
- +$7,217Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Politics · Yes / No
- +$5,695U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics · No
- +$4,073Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Crypto · Up
- +$3,026Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,518Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics · Yes / No
- -$1,694Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · No
- -$1,113Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics · Yes / No
- -$670Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$625Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
Covers the 395 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 146 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$17.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $683 |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $451 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)