ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
semantics
0x8dcf7e03c1e09d0c25e7b6fecc9825bce6215668
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 19% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 19%Verified PnL#931 of 1156
Beats 16%Win rate#801 of 963
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#868 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board22
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-14
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$224KVolume
48.3%Win rate · n=234
-0.46%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$3,308
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $92only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$35
-1.47% ROI48.3% Win rate · n=234
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,910 · loses the most in Politics -$3,468
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,145Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$1,531Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Sports · No
- +$992Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes
- +$850Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$6092026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,281Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,280Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,142Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$1,102Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$952Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture · Yes / No
Covers the 264 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KBelow board-day sum
22Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $130 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $329 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $9 |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $959 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $153 |
Which boards
Sports 13Politics 6Weather 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
37% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio37%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL-$3K
Verification gap-$5K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)