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101456
0x8de0771af4eb2785fe64eab139399abd30bd7f22
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 36% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 36%Verified PnL#399 of 624
Beats 75%30-day PnL#145 of 594
Beats 42%Win rate#341 of 592
Beats 85%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#90 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-12
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$22K
Verified lifetime PnL
$374KVolume
59.5%Win rate · n=237
3.14%PnL ÷ Volume
$62K7-day PnL
$44K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$22.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$309partial
Liquidity rewards$262
5.89% ROI49% Win rate · n=288
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$28.2K · loses the most in Finance -$1,783
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,051Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$3,461Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$3,336US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics · Yes / No
- +$1,574Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$1,449Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,306Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance · Yes
- -$2,150Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No
- -$1,403Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Finance · No / Yes
- -$1,178Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$1,141Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Covers the 288 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$22KVerified lifetime PnL
$18KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$62K7-day PnL
$44K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 4 | $425 |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 8Finance 8Tech 4Culture 1Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $309 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-05
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$309
Maker rebate$309
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-07-02 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$22K
Verification gap$18K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)