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cocos228
0x8e5c0cc55cda93d6cae14becb3b738a44dcaa68a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 82% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 82%Verified PnL#110 of 624
Beats 45%30-day PnL#326 of 594
Beats 67%Win rate#195 of 592
Beats 95%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#28 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board55
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-15
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$537K
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.61MVolume
72.9%Win rate · n=107
7.06%PnL ÷ Volume
$7K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$537.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $652only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$311partial
Liquidity rewards$937
7.06% ROI67.2% Win rate · n=116
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$553.2K · loses the most in Finance -$3,405
Top 5 winning markets
- +$468.0KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$47.7KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics · No
- +$32.0KWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics · Yes
- +$21.3KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$14.3KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$35.5KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics · No
- -$15.6KWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics · Yes
- -$13.9KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$9,996Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · Yes
- -$6,864Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview?Culture · Yes
Covers all 110 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$537KVerified lifetime PnL
$481KEarned off the board
55Days on board
$56KBoard-day sum
$7K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $18K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $14K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $7K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $9K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 51Sports 5All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
79% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $311 (92% maker / 8% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio79%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$311
Maker rebate$287
Taker rebate$25
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-09-16 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$56K
Verified lifetime PnL$537K
Verification gap$481K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)