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0x8e725159e12e8db008f78ca96a1e0d4df146ea48
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 19% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 19%Verified PnL#932 of 1156
Beats 6%Win rate#900 of 963
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#873 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-09-04
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$714KVolume
37.3%Win rate (sample) · n=386
-0.54%PnL ÷ Volume
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$3,823
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.54% ROI26.6% Win rate · n=542
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$56.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$18.0KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$14.8KWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$10.6KWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$9,904Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$9,333Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,707Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$4,525Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Culture · No
- -$4,340Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Culture · No
- -$3,748Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Culture · No
- -$3,042Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Culture · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 156 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$73.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KBelow board-day sum
5Days on board
$977Board-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 5 | $977 |
Which boards
Culture 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$977
Verified lifetime PnL-$4K
Verification gap-$5K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)