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cashy
0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 88% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 88%Verified PnL#136 of 1130
Beats 73%30-day PnL#219 of 810
Beats 67%Win rate#303 of 928
Beats 87%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#116 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board20
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$574K
Verified lifetime PnL
$14.01MVolume
74.2%Win rate (sample) · n=399
3.92%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
$33K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$573.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $101only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$469partial
Liquidity rewards$5,053partial
4.10% ROI65.2% Win rate · n=454
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$489.0K · loses the most in Culture -$1,533
Top 5 winning markets
- +$69.6KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes
- +$31.3KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$16.6KIran Strike on Israel by February 28?Politics · Yes / No
- +$16.5KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics · Yes
- +$16.3KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$18.7KWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Politics · Yes
- -$10.9KWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$9,400Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Politics · Yes / No
- -$6,751Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Politics · Yes
- -$4,724Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 55 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$40.0K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$574KVerified lifetime PnL
$568KEarned off the board
20Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
$33K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $592 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $773 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $340 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $207 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $271 |
Which boards
Politics 20
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
88% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $469 (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio88%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$469
Maker rebate$451
Taker rebate$18
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-05-05 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$574K
Verification gap$568K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)