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Papuasus
0x9034d7be0aff3819327a8927905e8f174e8c4375
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 37%Verified PnL#705 of 1130
Beats 19%30-day PnL#652 of 810
Beats 9%Win rate#836 of 928
Beats 39%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#574 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board38
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-15
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.95MVolume
42.7%Win rate · n=241
0.53%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$11.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $313only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$716partial
Liquidity rewards$142
0.61% ROI22.8% Win rate · n=451
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$72.6K · loses the most in Sports -$4,888
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,386Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$6,644Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$6,201Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$4,522Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$4,386Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,000Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsSports · Aurora Gaming
- -$2,571Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$2,001Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$1,800Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$1,700Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 241 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 210 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$55.1K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$12KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KBelow board-day sum
38Days on board
$20KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $9K |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $226 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $253 |
Which boards
Culture 38
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
67% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $716 (87% maker / 13% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio67%
Fills measured493
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$716
Maker rebate$621
Taker rebate$95
Maker share87%
Taker share13%
Window2026-04-23 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$20K
Verified lifetime PnL$12K
Verification gap-$8K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)