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0x90ed5bffbffbfc344aa1195572d89719a398b5bc
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 79% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 79%Verified PnL#128 of 624
Beats 11%30-day PnL#526 of 594
Beats 12%Win rate#517 of 592
Beats 55%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#279 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board53
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-10-04
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$424K
Verified lifetime PnL
$39.97MVolume
41.3%Win rate (sample) · n=387
1.08%PnL ÷ Volume
-$8K7-day PnL
-$14K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$424.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $723only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$588partial
Liquidity rewards$3,102
1.06% ROI36% Win rate · n=445
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$332.9K · loses the most in Tech & science -$1,233
Top 5 winning markets
- +$134.6KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$93.8KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$66.3KWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$46.4KWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$39.9KWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$23.0KUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$22.2KWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Culture · No
- -$19.7KWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Sports · No
- -$19.4KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$18.6KWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$424KVerified lifetime PnL
$357KEarned off the board
53Days on board
$67KBoard-day sum
-$8K7-day PnL
-$14K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $6K |
| 2026-04 | 4 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $22K |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $14K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $14K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $910 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $4K |
Which boards
Politics 30Sports 29Finance 3Culture 2All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $588 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-15
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$588
Maker rebate$571
Taker rebate$16
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-03-20 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$67K
Verified lifetime PnL$424K
Verification gap$357K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)