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0x9199ba070c49a78d7b1eb029b5c03d0b2972dd2d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#302 of 624
Beats 48%30-day PnL#306 of 594
Beats 57%Win rate#253 of 592
Beats 62%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#235 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board31
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-29
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$56K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.79MVolume
68.4%Win rate (sample) · n=396
1.47%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$55.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,307only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$607partial
Liquidity rewards$1,321
1.47% ROI54.3% Win rate · n=499
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$76.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,466Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?Culture · Yes
- +$6,049Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?Culture · Yes
- +$5,000Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Politics · No
- +$4,721Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Culture · Yes
- +$4,590Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $72m and 77m on opening weekend?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,769Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?Culture · Yes
- -$3,730Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m?Culture · Yes
- -$3,718Will 'Sinners' gross less than $44m on opening weekend?Culture · Yes
- -$3,206Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?Culture · No
- -$3,157Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?Culture · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$56KVerified lifetime PnL
$41KEarned off the board
31Days on board
$15KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $843 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $1K |
Which boards
Culture 31
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
89% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $607 (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio89%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-05
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$607
Maker rebate$532
Taker rebate$75
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$15K
Verified lifetime PnL$56K
Verification gap$41K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)