ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
jsmp1
0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 39% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$51.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$22.7KSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics · No / Yes
- +$3,664US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$2,898Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Politics · Yes
- +$2,619US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Politics · Yes
- +$1,714US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,281Andrew Tate arrested in August?Culture · No
- -$1,592Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics · Yes / No
- -$1,510Will another movie gross most in 2024?Culture · Yes / No
- -$1,454Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics · Yes
- -$1,159Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?Politics · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 473 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$137.2K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $766 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $408 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $416 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $64 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
89% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)