ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
2Dro
0x93a0f231e22b639c1ece252afc46a98ccd196623
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 18% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 18%Verified PnL#921 of 1130
Beats 35%30-day PnL#519 of 810
Beats 7%Win rate#857 of 928
Beats 8%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#869 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board22
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-05
Last seen2026-08-31
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$5K
Verified lifetime PnL
$472KVolume
39%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.07%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$4,923
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $30only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$251partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-1.04% ROI38% Win rate · n=410
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$245 · loses the most in Sports -$1,200
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,904Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsSports · Philadelphia Phillies
- +$1,628Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSports · Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$1,388Minnesota Twins vs. Texas RangersSports · Minnesota Twins
- +$1,318Houston Astros vs. Detroit TigersSports · Houston Astros
- +$1,296Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York MetsSports · Philadelphia Phillies
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,822Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSports · Milwaukee Brewers
- -$1,728Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee BrewersSports · Milwaukee Brewers
- -$1,712T20 Blast: Somerset vs GlamorganSports · Somerset / Glamorgan
- -$1,647Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
- -$1,553Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 10 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,073). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$5KVerified lifetime PnL
$21KBelow board-day sum
22Days on board
$16KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 7 | $13K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $1K |
Which boards
Sports 22
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $251 (42% maker / 58% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$251
Maker rebate$104
Taker rebate$147
Maker share42%
Taker share58%
Window2026-05-27 → 2026-08-22
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$16K
Verified lifetime PnL-$5K
Verification gap-$21K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)