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0x9422f0e5a2c4358bdd2a901aa2a31f58e04ef273
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 20% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 20%Verified PnL#494 of 624
Beats 36%30-day PnL#378 of 594
Beats 17%Win rate#488 of 592
Beats 20%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#493 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board47
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-26
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$906
Verified lifetime PnL
$10.41MVolume
45.4%Win rate (sample) · n=392
0.01%PnL ÷ Volume
$6207-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$906
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,812partial
Liquidity rewards$2,219
0.01% ROI44.3% Win rate · n=402
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,377 · loses the most in Crypto -$1,687
Top 5 winning markets
- +$257Will Dragons win?Sports · No
- +$249Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?Weather · Yes
- +$247Robinio Vaz: Anytime GoalscorerSports · Yes
- +$213Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?Politics · Yes
- +$196Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Sports · Sinner
Top 5 losing markets
- -$141Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$106Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$103Solana Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$102Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$97.83Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$906Verified lifetime PnL
$4KBelow board-day sum
47Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$6207-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $238 |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $661 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $330 |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $839 |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $2K |
Which boards
Sports 28Mentions 11Culture 8Weather 5Politics 4Tech 4Crypto 3Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-07
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$3
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$906
Verification gap-$4K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)