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← All boardsLaBradfordSmith22
0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 96% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 96%Verified PnL#22 of 622
Beats 45%Win rate#308 of 568
Beats 77%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#135 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board38
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-04-24
Last seen2026-08-14
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$2.63M
Verified lifetime PnL
$114.35MVolume
62%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.30%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2.63M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,404only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$165.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$31.1K
2.30% ROI27.6% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$12.18M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$963.3KWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?Sports · Yes
- +$793.0KWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?Sports · No
- +$708.2KWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?Sports · No
- +$697.8KWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?Sports · No
- +$604.0KWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$406.0KWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Sports · No
- -$265.0KSpread: Spurs (-4.5)Sports · Spurs
- -$252.4KWill Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?Sports · Yes
- -$233.6KSan Francisco Giants vs. AthleticsSports · Athletics
- -$179.7KKnicks vs. SpursSports · Knicks / Spurs
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$2.63MVerified lifetime PnL
$4.67MBelow board-day sum
38Days on board
$7.32MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $2.46M |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $4.74M |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $120K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $347 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $347 |
Which boards
Sports 38All markets 26
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $165K (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-06-04
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$165K
Maker rebate$163K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-04-24 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$7.29M
Verified lifetime PnL$2.63M
Verification gap-$4.67M
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)