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0x94c4fe3b18435aa92024c7c1589537fcda3f43ca
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 64% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 64%Verified PnL#225 of 624
Beats 70%30-day PnL#176 of 594
Beats 71%Win rate#172 of 592
Beats 89%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#68 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board54
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$125K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.34MVolume
75%Win rate · n=144
3.74%PnL ÷ Volume
$14K7-day PnL
$28K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$125.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,443only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,765partial
Liquidity rewards$2,428
3.74% ROI56.8% Win rate · n=222
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$192.7K · loses the most in Finance -$2,419
Top 5 winning markets
- +$47.6KWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$44.8KWill the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Politics · Yes
- +$29.2KWill Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Politics · Yes
- +$27.7KWill Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?Politics · Yes
- +$26.7KWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$21.0KWill Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$16.5KWill Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture · Yes / No
- -$12.8KWill Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$9,443Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture · Yes
- -$4,635Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture · No
Covers all 145 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$125KVerified lifetime PnL
$103KEarned off the board
54Days on board
$22KBoard-day sum
$14K7-day PnL
$28K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $12K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $547 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 29Weather 23Culture 7Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
86% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio86%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$98
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-05-01 → 2026-10-02
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$22K
Verified lifetime PnL$125K
Verification gap$103K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)