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0x9506e646…
0x9506e646497107cabf2d5b941a8e6a60d0db1c4f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 35% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 35%Verified PnL#402 of 624
Beats 51%30-day PnL#291 of 594
Beats 95%Win rate#25 of 592
Beats 70%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#183 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-19
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$21K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.21MVolume
96%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.95%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$21.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6,599only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,224partial
Liquidity rewards$0
1.77% ROI42.9% Win rate · n=895
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$133.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,695Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?Weather · Yes
- +$3,498Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 16?Weather · Yes
- +$3,453Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?Weather · Yes
- +$2,242Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?Weather · Yes
- +$1,897Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$413Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1?Weather · No
- -$327Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 7?Weather · Yes
- -$275Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?Weather · No
- -$262Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?Weather · No
- -$247Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$21KVerified lifetime PnL
$766Earned off the board
36Days on board
$21KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 5 | $575 |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $8K |
| 2026-10 | 6 | $9K |
Which boards
Weather 36
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-26 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$21K
Verified lifetime PnL$21K
Verification gap$766
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)