ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0x954d15e2…
0x954d15e2ca1e2421e6d996107b6476a6c68ecd39
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 27%Verified PnL#820 of 1130
Beats 40%30-day PnL#481 of 810
Beats 29%Win rate#653 of 928
Beats 29%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#675 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board10
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-23
Last seen2026-07-26
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
$908KVolume
54.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.21%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2,488
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $105only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$132partial
Liquidity rewards$15
0.27% ROI54.6% Win rate · n=401
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3,369 · loses the most in Crypto -$2,609
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,812Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?Culture · Yes / No
- +$6,529Will MrBeast's next video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 6?Culture · Yes
- +$2,008Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Politics · Yes
- +$1,701Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?Culture · Yes
- +$1,305LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports · Movistar KOI / Bilibili Gaming
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,944Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Culture · Yes
- -$1,836Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Culture · Yes
- -$1,729Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?Culture · No
- -$1,581Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?Culture · Yes
- -$1,474Will MrBeast's next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 6?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$4KBelow board-day sum
10Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $3K |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $923 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $99 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $364 |
Which boards
Culture 10
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
15% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $132 (14% maker / 86% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio15%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$132
Maker rebate$18
Taker rebate$114
Maker share14%
Taker share86%
Window2026-05-02 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$2K
Verification gap-$4K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)