ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsKimchiCapital
0x9578af80708f271f705e27867dcf6ec653acf066
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 44% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 44%Verified PnL#347 of 624
Beats 57%30-day PnL#251 of 594
Beats 71%Win rate#168 of 592
Beats 92%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#47 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board44
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-27
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$37K
Verified lifetime PnL
$763KVolume
75.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
4.32%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$37.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,565only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$151partial
Liquidity rewards$964
4.89% ROI74.1% Win rate · n=409
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$14.5K · loses the most in Finance -$1,881
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,374Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams?Culture · No
- +$1,893Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams?Culture · Yes
- +$1,181Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Culture · Yes
- +$1,074Will IVE release a song in 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$989Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$894Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Finance · Yes
- -$821Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 105k and 125k?Culture · Yes
- -$738Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June?Culture · No
- -$733Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Tech & science · Yes
- -$680Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$37KVerified lifetime PnL
$31KEarned off the board
44Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $131 |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $73 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $636 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 16Culture 14Tech 14Finance 6Sports 2Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
37% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $151 (32% maker / 68% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio37%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$151
Maker rebate$48
Taker rebate$103
Maker share32%
Taker share68%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$37K
Verification gap$31K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)