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erFiodena
0x961b2866b349bad732c6fce081af9090be4d2b00
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 25% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 25%Verified PnL#837 of 1130
Beats 33%30-day PnL#537 of 810
Beats 73%Win rate#246 of 928
Beats 75%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#237 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-05
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1K
Verified lifetime PnL
$63KVolume
78.4%Win rate (sample) · n=394
2.20%PnL ÷ Volume
$1787-day PnL
$68530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,448
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$15partial
Liquidity rewards$358
2.28% ROI50.6% Win rate · n=611
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2,013 · loses the most in Other -$5.36
Top 5 winning markets
- +$124Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Finance · Yes
- +$120Will Vance peak at Category 2?Weather · Yes / No
- +$96.76Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Finance · Yes
- +$91.11Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 10, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$79.96Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?Tech & science · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$36.78Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Indonesia by August 31?Weather · No
- -$30Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$23.49New Anthropic model released before IPO?Tech & science · Yes
- -$15.59SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Finance · No
- -$15.31Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 217 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$2,472). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$1KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$205Board-day sum
$1787-day PnL
$68530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 2 | $36 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $3 |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $102 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $64 |
Which boards
Mentions 17Weather 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $15 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$15
Maker rebate$15
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-08-21 → 2026-10-15
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$205
Verified lifetime PnL$1K
Verification gap$1K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)