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0x9660bd8dfe42bd55ab888dec2cc6bea3c1b18bb6
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 15%Verified PnL#526 of 624
Beats 37%30-day PnL#374 of 594
Beats 56%Win rate#258 of 592
Beats 2%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#605 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-08-23
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$75KVolume
68.2%Win rate · n=349
-3.51%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$2,641
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$53partial
Liquidity rewards$6,183
-3.51% ROI42.9% Win rate · n=555
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2,138 · loses the most in Finance -$176
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,430Forca Lleida CE vs. BarcelonaSports · Forca Lleida CE
- +$632US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- +$368Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$334U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Politics · Yes
- +$334Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$892The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box OfficeCulture · Michael / The Devil Wears Prada 2
- -$450US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$366US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$316Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?Finance · Yes / No
- -$305Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?Finance · Yes / No
Covers the 349 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KBelow board-day sum
7Days on board
$152Board-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $30 |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $69 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $20 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $32 |
Which boards
Mentions 4Sports 2Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $53 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured470
Window ends2026-05-04
Window scope10 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$53
Maker rebate$53
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-15 → 2026-05-05
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$152
Verified lifetime PnL-$3K
Verification gap-$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)