ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0x9783f45c…
0x9783f45ce35f794be38ca47dd0816a5c241383b9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 57% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 57%Verified PnL#483 of 1130
Beats 75%30-day PnL#198 of 810
#1Win rate#1 of 928
Beats 74%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#247 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board19
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-17
Last seen2026-11-03
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$53K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.31MVolume
100%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.11%PnL ÷ Volume
$11K7-day PnL
$48K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$53.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $178only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,099partial
Liquidity rewards$0
4.07% ROI44.4% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$192.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,920Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$4,264Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$4,030Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,924Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,868Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$413XRP Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$249Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$249Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$243Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$203Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1047 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$176.8K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$53KVerified lifetime PnL
$44KEarned off the board
19Days on board
$10KBoard-day sum
$11K7-day PnL
$48K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 2 | $339 |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Crypto 19
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-01-08 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$10K
Verified lifetime PnL$53K
Verification gap$44K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)