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BunCaCham
0x996ac56c9e72b6ca38a30ae9f6e85152d9afe3cc
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 5% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 5%Verified PnL#1066 of 1130
Beats 6%30-day PnL#756 of 810
Beats 82%Win rate#159 of 928
Beats 16%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#797 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board45
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$156K
Verified lifetime PnL
$68.13MVolume
85.5%Win rate (sample) · n=352
-0.23%PnL ÷ Volume
-$18K7-day PnL
-$48K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$156.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$13.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$161.0K
-0.23% ROI85.5% Win rate · n=352
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$234.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$35.0KPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$3,670Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$3,097Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Sports · Over / Under
- +$2,844Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$2,799LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CSports · T1
Top 5 losing markets
- -$136.1KLivesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana TararudeeSports · Nikola Bartunkova
- -$34.2KLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsSports · Movistar KOI
- -$31.9KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$26.4KLoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerSports · Gen.G
- -$24.0KLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 WinnerSports · EDward Gaming
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$156KVerified lifetime PnL
$181KBelow board-day sum
45Days on board
$24KBoard-day sum
-$18K7-day PnL
-$48K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $381 |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $13K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $216 |
Which boards
Sports 44Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $13K (92% maker / 9% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-09
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$13K
Maker rebate$12K
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share92%
Taker share9%
Window2026-04-01 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$24K
Verified lifetime PnL-$156K
Verification gap-$181K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)