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Mooseyyyy

0x99c4f423fd680fde2703619dfa51128866cb0c89

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 25% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 25%Verified PnL#858 of 1156

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board25
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$424

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$424

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $484only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$63
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleLongshot buyer47% of 374 buys at ≤ 10¢Mostly taker56% of last 500 fills (over 126.8 days) paid a taker feeRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$15.6K · loses the most in Culture -$1,258

Sports348 pos.+$15.6K
Other1 pos.+$929
Tech & science2 pos.+$624
Weather1 pos.+$87.86
Finance6 pos.-$187
Crypto1 pos.-$191
Politics22 pos.-$1,142
Culture19 pos.-$1,258

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 28 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$3,506). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$424Verified lifetime PnL
$5KBelow board-day sum
25Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 3 $1K
2026-05 5 $2K
2026-06 3 $1K
2026-07 4 $261
2026-08 5 $223
2026-09 5 $209

Which boards

Sports 23Culture 2

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$424
Verification gap-$5K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)