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0x9a4cbaf3ba914b38ca92cc968cb6104c002998d0
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 61% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 61%Verified PnL#438 of 1130
Beats 68%30-day PnL#253 of 810
Beats 53%Win rate#427 of 928
Beats 91%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#86 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-08-22
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$69K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.15MVolume
68%Win rate (sample) · n=400
4.80%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$26K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$68.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $306only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,258partial
Liquidity rewards$5
5.97% ROI30.3% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$49.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,113Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$2,868Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,832Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,322Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,090Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,853Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$2,096Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$2,060Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$1,852Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,792Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 500 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$56.8K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$69KVerified lifetime PnL
$68KEarned off the board
7Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$26K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $748 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $281 |
Which boards
Crypto 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
33% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (15% maker / 85% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio33%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$489
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share15%
Taker share85%
Window2026-08-20 → 2026-11-02
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$69K
Verification gap$68K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)