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0x9b129ad05bc0a8df3c73dfcc66fe75252daec2d5
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 67% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 67%Verified PnL#204 of 624
Beats 96%30-day PnL#23 of 594
Beats 34%Win rate#388 of 592
Beats 69%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#190 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board33
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-28
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$158K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.89MVolume
54.6%Win rate (sample) · n=55
1.90%PnL ÷ Volume
$369K7-day PnL
$617K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$158.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,339partial
Liquidity rewards$163
5.49% ROI36.8% Win rate · n=117
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$117.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$31.7KWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$30.8KWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics · No
- +$29.3KWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Sports · No / Yes
- +$20.2KWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics · No
- +$14.8KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$20.1KWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Sports · No / Yes
- -$7,145Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Sports · No / Yes
- -$3,389Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-16?Sports · Yes
- -$3,079Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics · No
- -$1,639Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$158KVerified lifetime PnL
$140KEarned off the board
33Days on board
$18KBoard-day sum
$369K7-day PnL
$617K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $40 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $11K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $4K |
Which boards
Sports 11Weather 10Politics 9Culture 4Tech 2Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
34% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (60% maker / 40% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio34%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$801
Taker rebate$538
Maker share60%
Taker share40%
Window2026-05-23 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$18K
Verified lifetime PnL$158K
Verification gap$140K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)