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← All boardsSloppyDonny
0x9b2fcb79bdb8a6a6174da327e9335f7889c6d8f8
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#435 of 624
Beats 29%30-day PnL#422 of 594
Beats 62%Win rate#225 of 592
Beats 85%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#93 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board14
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-10-02
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$292KVolume
70.2%Win rate (sample) · n=393
3.00%PnL ÷ Volume
$107-day PnL
$1730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$10.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $361only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$20partial
Liquidity rewards$100
3.45% ROI59.4% Win rate · n=465
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$5,660 · loses the most in Tech & science -$279
Top 5 winning markets
- +$933Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?Politics · No / Yes
- +$403Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?Politics · Yes
- +$329Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?Politics · No
- +$312Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Politics · Yes
- +$289Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$522Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Culture · Yes
- -$404Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?Politics · Yes / No
- -$288Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Politics · Yes
- -$278Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?Politics · Yes
- -$245Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$9KEarned off the board
14Days on board
$691Board-day sum
$107-day PnL
$1730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $140 |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $31 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $172 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $17 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $23 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $309 |
Which boards
Mentions 13Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
59% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $20 (51% maker / 49% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio59%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$20
Maker rebate$10
Taker rebate$10
Maker share51%
Taker share49%
Window2026-04-27 → 2026-10-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$691
Verified lifetime PnL$10K
Verification gap$9K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)