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tinman2
0x9baebe30d1cefe0ac5be4be85189c9fa33e95d34
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$15.5K · loses the most in Other -$4,442
Top 5 winning markets
- +$14.1KWill Biden finish his term?Politics · Yes
- +$5,901Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$4,958Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Politics · No
- +$3,546US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics · No
- +$2,949Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,634US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$5,467US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Politics · No
- -$4,736Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Politics · No / Yes
- -$4,668Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Politics · No
- -$4,424Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 243 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$20.5K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $599 |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 18 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $2K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
21% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)