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0x9c8ee2d2b2885238201e75bb0db0937b40162bb0

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 24% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 24%Verified PnL#854 of 1130

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board8
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-13
Last seen2026-09-05
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$207

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-06 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$207

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $134only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist95% of last 500 fills (over 125.7 days) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsBuys near-certain outcomes72% of 422 buys at ≥ 90¢Mostly taker99% of last 500 fills (over 125.7 days) paid a taker feeIn and out fastMedian hold 1 min across 67 bought-then-sold positionsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Tech & science +$777 · loses the most in Weather -$14.29

Tech & science3 pos.+$777
Finance3 pos.+$702
Politics5 pos.+$635
Crypto348 pos.+$311
Sports2 pos.+$2.93
Culture2 pos.-$10.32
Weather1 pos.-$14.29

Covers the 364 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 48 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,856). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$207Verified lifetime PnL
$241Below board-day sum
8Days on board
$449Board-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-06 6 $407
2026-07 1 $32
2026-09 1 $9

Which boards

Tech 7Finance 1

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$449
Verified lifetime PnL$207
Verification gap-$241

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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)