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sulumos
0x9db82de5a71ae539bc82f4d9ac3a007c7d742eff
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 8% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 8%Verified PnL#569 of 624
Beats 1%30-day PnL#585 of 594
Beats 14%Win rate#506 of 592
Beats 34%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#404 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$79K
Verified lifetime PnL
$21.78MVolume
43.3%Win rate (sample) · n=393
0.43%PnL ÷ Volume
-$186K7-day PnL
-$341K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$79.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $10.1Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$31.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$993
-0.36% ROI43% Win rate · n=395
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$111.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$76.8KCardinals vs. RamsSports · Cardinals
- +$71.1KWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?Sports · No
- +$68.6KFalcons vs. PackersSports · Falcons
- +$66.4KEagles vs. BearsSports · Bears
- +$61.9KLoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerSports · KT Rolster
Top 5 losing markets
- -$79.6KCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSports · Team Falcons
- -$64.3KRavens vs. BrownsSports · Ravens
- -$63.9KWill Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?Sports · No
- -$63.8KLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerSports · Hanwha Life Esports
- -$61.6KWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$79KVerified lifetime PnL
$235KBelow board-day sum
16Days on board
$156KBoard-day sum
-$186K7-day PnL
-$341K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $24K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $23K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $36 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $4K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $92K |
Which boards
Sports 16All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $31K (67% maker / 33% taker); rebate covers 2% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$31K
Maker rebate$21K
Taker rebate$10K
Maker share67%
Taker share33%
Window2026-04-01 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$331K
Rebate$5K
Net total-$326K
Rebate covers loss2%
Window2026-10-02 → 2026-11-01
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$156K
Verified lifetime PnL-$79K
Verification gap-$235K
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Archived 2026-11-01 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)