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cosmicxbt
0x9ee49c02ae1ade698bf9e06d4ca271f236b8697b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 11% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 11%Verified PnL#554 of 624
Beats 1%30-day PnL#584 of 594
Beats 62%Win rate#224 of 592
Beats 88%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#72 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board13
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-20
Last seen2026-10-01
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$27K
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.27MVolume
70.3%Win rate · n=37
3.60%PnL ÷ Volume
$179K7-day PnL
-$322K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$27.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $21.6Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$11.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$522
-0.29% ROI66.7% Win rate · n=39
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$54.5K · loses the most in Sports -$53.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$99.0KRavens vs. CowboysSports · Ravens
- +$83.0KSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$79.2KSpread: Rams (-5.5)Sports · Broncos
- +$75.0KBroncos vs. CardinalsSports · Broncos
- +$66.0KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$400.3KRavens vs. FalconsSports · Falcons
- -$128.9KPanthers vs. BrownsSports · Panthers
- -$120.0KSpread: Chiefs (-3.5)Sports · Broncos
- -$119.2KLakers vs. WarriorsSports · Lakers
- -$97.5KSeahawks vs. BroncosSports · Broncos
Covers all 47 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$27KVerified lifetime PnL
$47KBelow board-day sum
13Days on board
$20KBoard-day sum
$179K7-day PnL
-$322K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | $81 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $175 |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $17K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Finance 11Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $11K (82% maker / 18% taker); rebate covers 1% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$11K
Maker rebate$9K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share82%
Taker share18%
Window2026-07-20 → 2026-10-28
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$498K
Rebate$5K
Net total-$492K
Rebate covers loss1%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$20K
Verified lifetime PnL-$27K
Verification gap-$47K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)