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Gamble.and.bankurpt
0x9fd4ca44be6bf74afc5987aa5b4305f5f748325c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$25K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,423 · loses the most in Politics -$11.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,286Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?Culture · No
- +$1,387Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,154Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture · Yes / No
- +$815Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture · Yes
- +$672Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,049Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · No
- -$3,315Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- -$1,748Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Sports · No / Yes
- -$1,609Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Culture · Yes
- -$1,522Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 6 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$2,374). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $48 |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $343 |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $316 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $320 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)