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← All boardsKris-Future
0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 36% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 36%Verified PnL#396 of 624
Beats 58%30-day PnL#245 of 594
Beats 91%Win rate#52 of 592
Beats 87%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#77 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board30
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-26
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$23K
Verified lifetime PnL
$645KVolume
92.2%Win rate · n=51
3.46%PnL ÷ Volume
$8K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$22.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $201only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$71partial
Liquidity rewards$106
3.54% ROI87% Win rate · n=54
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$25.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,012US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics · No
- +$3,743US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$2,362Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics · No
- +$2,025US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics · No
- +$1,645Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,549US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,407US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · No
- -$1,099Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Finance · Yes
- -$405US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No
Covers all 53 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$23KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KEarned off the board
30Days on board
$15KBoard-day sum
$8K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $506 |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $928 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 24Finance 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
84% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $71 (84% maker / 16% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio84%
Fills measured495
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$71
Maker rebate$60
Taker rebate$11
Maker share84%
Taker share16%
Window2026-06-21 → 2026-09-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$15K
Verified lifetime PnL$23K
Verification gap$8K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)