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0xa2770432…
0xa2770432a5e6bd24c347c976b0d815db1f2c1182
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#434 of 624
Beats 50%30-day PnL#294 of 594
Beats 53%Win rate#273 of 592
Beats 97%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#18 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-11
Last seen2026-09-27
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
$121KVolume
66.7%Win rate · n=162
8.73%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$10.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $549only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19partial
Liquidity rewards$29
8.73% ROI65.8% Win rate · n=164
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$13.7K · loses the most in Culture -$142
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,395Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Tech & science · No
- +$1,211Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,105Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Tech & science · Yes
- +$611Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- +$572Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$690Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$321Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech & science · Yes
- -$292DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$237Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$132Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech & science · Yes
Covers all 173 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$11KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KEarned off the board
8Days on board
$611Board-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $70 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $541 |
Which boards
Tech 7Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
7% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $19 (27% maker / 73% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio7%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$19
Maker rebate$5
Taker rebate$14
Maker share27%
Taker share73%
Window2026-08-01 → 2026-10-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$611
Verified lifetime PnL$11K
Verification gap$10K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)