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0xa2bf3b2c…
0xa2bf3b2ced564ce53d9fb2690b210d3ae61295d3
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 26% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 26%Verified PnL#833 of 1130
Beats 33%30-day PnL#538 of 810
Beats 81%Win rate#174 of 928
Beats 53%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#445 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-08-06
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
$149KVolume
84.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.95%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$67730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,607
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $238only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$16partial
Liquidity rewards$63
1.08% ROI71.5% Win rate · n=471
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$2,799 · loses the most in Crypto -$1,016
Top 5 winning markets
- +$790Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Tech & science · No
- +$610Will Muse be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?Tech & science · Yes
- +$344Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Tech & science · No
- +$208Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Sports · Yes
- +$192Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$607Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Sports · Yes
- -$229Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$117Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Dalibor SvrcinaSports · Billy Harris
- -$91.65Palermo: Michele Ribecai vs Jonas ForejtekSports · Michele Ribecai
- -$90.88Samsun: Simona Waltert vs Himeno SakatsumeSports · Himeno Sakatsume / Simona Waltert
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 71 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$5,815). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$1KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$199Board-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$67730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $53 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $146 |
Which boards
Sports 4Finance 2Tech 2Mentions 1Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $16 (17% maker / 83% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$16
Maker rebate$3
Taker rebate$13
Maker share17%
Taker share83%
Window2026-08-09 → 2026-09-28
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$199
Verified lifetime PnL$2K
Verification gap$1K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)