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tony396264
0xa2c3efe706a903f10544d68af43d40b441898b21
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 13% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$22K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$18.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,866LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ASports · Bilibili Gaming
- +$2,507Celtics vs. CavaliersSports · Celtics
- +$2,299Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Sports · 76ers
- +$1,704Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group ASports · GamerLegion
- +$1,30976ers vs. SpursSports · Spurs
Top 5 losing markets
- -$10.4KLoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ASports · BNK FEARX
- -$4,847Knicks vs. 76ersSports · 76ers
- -$4,828Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsSports · Team Spirit
- -$4,664Celtics vs. HornetsSports · Hornets
- -$3,007Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceSports · Brazil
Covers all 214 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 16 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$7,323). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $474 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)