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← All boardselPolloLoco
0xa2f1fecf1cc7db65a46588f764b6691533052d22
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 83% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 83%Verified PnL#103 of 624
Beats 9%30-day PnL#536 of 594
Beats 49%Win rate#300 of 592
Beats 37%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#390 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board51
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$574K
Verified lifetime PnL
$119.79MVolume
64%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.49%PnL ÷ Volume
-$27K7-day PnL
-$22K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$574.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $8,139only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$11.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$64.4Kpartial
0.48% ROI37.4% Win rate · n=685
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$341.7K · loses the most in Culture -$7,210
Top 5 winning markets
- +$128.0KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$32.1KWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Politics · Yes
- +$26.6KWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes / No
- +$21.5KLoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsSports · Invictus Gaming
- +$21.2KWill Ethereum dip to $3,000 by January 31?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$20.3KWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$18.3KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$14.7KWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Crypto · Yes
- -$14.0KWill Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · Yes
- -$12.4KWill Ethereum reach $4600 September 1–7?Crypto · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$574KVerified lifetime PnL
$519KEarned off the board
51Days on board
$55KBoard-day sum
-$27K7-day PnL
-$22K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $19K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $10K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $8K |
Which boards
Sports 24Crypto 16Politics 13Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
54% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $11K (95% maker / 5% taker); rebate covers 4% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio54%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$11K
Maker rebate$11K
Taker rebate$547
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-03-27 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$78K
Rebate$3K
Net total-$75K
Rebate covers loss4%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$55K
Verified lifetime PnL$574K
Verification gap$519K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)