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0xa3a39a3746dbd55f3a33ae38bd27ae2804c2c2f9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 67% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 67%Verified PnL#206 of 624
Beats 15%30-day PnL#500 of 594
Beats 54%Win rate#271 of 592
Beats 92%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#46 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board37
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$155K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.58MVolume
66.9%Win rate · n=172
4.48%PnL ÷ Volume
-$9847-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$154.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,907only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$480partial
Liquidity rewards$602
4.32% ROI63.2% Win rate · n=182
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$112.2K · loses the most in Weather -$8,585
Top 5 winning markets
- +$39.0KUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$33.6KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$25.1KWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
- +$17.1KWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Sports · Yes
- +$16.3KWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$16.8KWill Denmark win on 2026-03-31?Sports · Yes
- -$14.2KWill another country strike Iran by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$13.7KWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports · Yes
- -$11.7KWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Sports · Yes
- -$11.7KWill Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?Sports · No
Covers all 172 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$155KVerified lifetime PnL
$134KEarned off the board
37Days on board
$21KBoard-day sum
-$9847-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $953 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 20Culture 11Sports 7Finance 4Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $480 (68% maker / 32% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-16
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$480
Maker rebate$326
Taker rebate$154
Maker share68%
Taker share32%
Window2026-05-08 → 2026-07-16
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$21K
Verified lifetime PnL$155K
Verification gap$134K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)