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0xa3a417e434923aeaf97afe9a61b10ff9364e5106
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 89% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 89%Verified PnL#68 of 624
Beats 49%30-day PnL#302 of 594
Beats 58%Win rate#247 of 592
Beats 84%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#94 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board35
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$941K
Verified lifetime PnL
$32.44MVolume
68.7%Win rate · n=179
2.94%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7757-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$941.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $11only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$7,472partial
Liquidity rewards$1,848
2.90% ROI30% Win rate · n=410
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$979.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$351.6KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$190.3KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$160.7KWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Yes
- +$73.2KWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes
- +$71.1KWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,744Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Yes
- -$9,587Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Yes
- -$9,308Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Yes
- -$6,037Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$4,107Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture · No / Yes
Covers the 266 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$941KVerified lifetime PnL
$912KEarned off the board
35Days on board
$29KBoard-day sum
-$7757-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 10 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $9K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 33Culture 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
53% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $7K (94% maker / 6% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio53%
Fills measured460
Window ends2026-10-12
Window scope0 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$7K
Maker rebate$7K
Taker rebate$465
Maker share94%
Taker share6%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$867K
Rebate$5K
Net total-$862K
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$29K
Verified lifetime PnL$941K
Verification gap$912K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)