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0xa445c59c0531d28a13550f29d734b33520530286
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 42% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 42%Verified PnL#362 of 625
Beats 41%30-day PnL#305 of 519
Beats 30%Win rate#394 of 566
Beats 21%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#467 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board11
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$29K
Verified lifetime PnL
$55.17MVolume
53.6%Win rate · n=179
0.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$29.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$133partial
Liquidity rewards$918
0.05% ROI16.8% Win rate · n=571
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$12.2K · loses the most in Crypto -$60.72
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.8KWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$2,576Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Politics · Yes
- +$1,658Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$1,312Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Tech & science · Yes
- +$782Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,078Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- -$729Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Tech & science · Yes
- -$229Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- -$156Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$125Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
Covers all 179 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$29KVerified lifetime PnL
$28KEarned off the board
11Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $121 |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $255 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $252 |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $364 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $25 |
Which boards
Tech 7Finance 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $133 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$133
Maker rebate$133
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-09 → 2026-10-13
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$29K
Verification gap$28K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)