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Hashbrown
0xa52b785a5510117ac3ae03d75d029f89a36c9480
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 73% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 73%Verified PnL#301 of 1130
Beats 83%30-day PnL#132 of 810
Beats 85%Win rate#135 of 928
Beats 52%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#452 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board35
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$152K
Verified lifetime PnL
$16.31MVolume
87.4%Win rate (sample) · n=396
0.93%PnL ÷ Volume
$84K7-day PnL
$97K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$151.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,255only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,283partial
Liquidity rewards$336
0.93% ROI87.4% Win rate · n=396
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$144.9K · loses the most in Politics -$17.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$32.1KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$15.9KWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$15.5KNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$15.3KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$12.0KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$45.6KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · No
- -$10.7KWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$10.6KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$10.6KWill Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- -$9,946Pelicans vs. ThunderSports · Thunder
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$152KVerified lifetime PnL
$120KEarned off the board
35Days on board
$32KBoard-day sum
$84K7-day PnL
$97K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $755 |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $15K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $354 |
Which boards
Politics 18Sports 12Finance 7Tech 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $1K (51% maker / 49% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$655
Taker rebate$628
Maker share51%
Taker share49%
Window2026-05-05 → 2026-11-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$32K
Verified lifetime PnL$152K
Verification gap$120K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)