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AlexPro
0xa638749f9aa75ee30191b9296646c380f49a1d87
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 67% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 67%Verified PnL#368 of 1130
Beats 23%30-day PnL#616 of 810
Beats 66%Win rate#312 of 928
Beats 53%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#442 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-15
Last seen2026-08-23
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$101K
Verified lifetime PnL
$10.60MVolume
73.9%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.95%PnL ÷ Volume
$37-day PnL
-$16330-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$101.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $551only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,423partial
Liquidity rewards$2,508
0.96% ROI49.3% Win rate · n=597
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$284.3K · loses the most in Other -$3,627
Top 5 winning markets
- +$65.3KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$21.5KWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- +$16.9KWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$12.3KTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Politics · Yes / No
- +$10.4KWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$13.4KWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Politics · Yes / No
- -$8,811Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Politics · No
- -$3,243Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?Culture · Yes
- -$3,044Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Politics · Yes / No
- -$2,838Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 199 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$256.9K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$101KVerified lifetime PnL
$75KEarned off the board
8Days on board
$26KBoard-day sum
$37-day PnL
-$16330-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $25K |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $28 |
Which boards
Culture 7Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $1K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-05-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$26K
Verified lifetime PnL$101K
Verification gap$75K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)