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0xa7d1ae08567d192db3c3cf1858c62c76dc8cb824
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 1% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 1%Verified PnL#612 of 624
Beats 89%30-day PnL#64 of 594
Beats 0%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#620 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board22
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-23
Last seen2026-09-09
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$1.18M
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.00MVolume
66.7%Win rate · n=3
-13.11%PnL ÷ Volume
$41K7-day PnL
$207K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$1.18M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $7only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,587
-13.1% ROI— Win rate · n=11
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$25.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$28.1KUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · Yes
- +$618Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,793Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics · Yes
Covers all 3 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$1.18MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.39MBelow board-day sum
22Days on board
$214KBoard-day sum
$41K7-day PnL
$207K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $70K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $119K |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $766 |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $22K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $766 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $510 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $255 |
Which boards
Politics 22All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$214K
Verified lifetime PnL-$1.18M
Verification gap-$1.39M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)