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0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 35% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 35%Verified PnL#403 of 624
Beats 62%30-day PnL#221 of 594
Beats 53%Win rate#278 of 592
Beats 57%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#261 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board52
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$21K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.58MVolume
65.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
1.20%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$21.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $256only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$348partial
Liquidity rewards$3,171
1.34% ROI65.4% Win rate · n=399
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$13.7K · loses the most in Politics -$4,241
Top 5 winning markets
- +$8,253Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$6,860Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Finance · No
- +$3,250Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Finance · Yes
- +$2,792Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Weather · Yes
- +$2,473Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,303Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,967Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Weather · Yes
- -$1,958Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Finance · Yes
- -$1,755Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?Weather · Yes
- -$1,737Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$21KVerified lifetime PnL
$13KEarned off the board
52Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $336 |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $1K |
Which boards
Weather 24Tech 22Finance 10Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $348 (81% maker / 19% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$348
Maker rebate$282
Taker rebate$67
Maker share81%
Taker share19%
Window2026-05-02 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$21K
Verification gap$13K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)