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0xa80e3fe5e7a445fa047fe6de1e27f9a15217b94b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 82% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 82%Verified PnL#109 of 624
Beats 37%30-day PnL#370 of 594
Beats 72%Win rate#162 of 592
Beats 97%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#14 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board28
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-08-26
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$554K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.88MVolume
77.1%Win rate · n=48
11.37%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$554.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,931only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,153partial
Liquidity rewards$2,238
11.4% ROI61.7% Win rate · n=60
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$563.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$214.3KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Finance · No
- +$139.8KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Finance · No / Yes
- +$80.3KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Finance · No
- +$40.2KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Finance · No
- +$28.9KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$18.8KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Finance · No
- -$11.2KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Finance · No
- -$681Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Finance · No
- -$142Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto · No
- -$133Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Finance · No
Covers all 49 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$554KVerified lifetime PnL
$165KBelow board-day sum
28Days on board
$719KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $129K |
| 2026-04 | 11 | $572K |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $15K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $126 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $70 |
Which boards
Finance 21Politics 4Crypto 2All markets 1Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-15
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-05 → 2026-09-16
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$719K
Verified lifetime PnL$554K
Verification gap-$165K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)