ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boards98better
0xa8a9c7a2f1d8eca2c20b6dc58df52caa85cdbb81
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 19% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 19%Verified PnL#501 of 624
Beats 6%30-day PnL#555 of 594
Beats 21%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#490 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board30
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-19
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$254
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.67MVolume
50%Win rate · n=2
0.02%PnL ÷ Volume
-$29K7-day PnL
-$72K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$254
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $8,251only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,221partial
Liquidity rewards$2,540
0.02% ROI— Win rate · n=2
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$254
Top 5 winning markets
- +$785Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
Covers all 2 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$254Verified lifetime PnL
$66KBelow board-day sum
30Days on board
$66KBoard-day sum
-$29K7-day PnL
-$72K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 6 | $16K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $16K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $11K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $5K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $18K |
Which boards
Politics 30All markets 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (66% maker / 34% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured403
Window ends2026-10-16
Window scope119 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$755
Maker share66%
Taker share34%
Window2026-06-20 → 2026-10-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$66K
Verified lifetime PnL$254
Verification gap-$66K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)