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131071
0xa8b964a5e729d2af6314ca8b7babc8c8cb4b6b7c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$27K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$286 · loses the most in Politics -$13.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,224Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Finance · Yes
- +$638Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics · Yes
- +$603Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics · No
- +$501Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$302Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,046Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics · Yes
- -$3,973Fed rate hike in 2026?Finance · Yes / No
- -$1,988Netanyahu out by May 31?Politics · Yes
- -$1,630Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance · Yes
- -$1,257Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics · No / Yes
Covers all 86 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 20 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$13.1K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $483 |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $248 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)