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0xaa7a74b8c754e8aacc1ac2dedb699af0a3224d23
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 43% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 43%Verified PnL#636 of 1130
Beats 31%30-day PnL#552 of 810
Beats 14%Win rate#797 of 928
Beats 79%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#200 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-13
Last seen2026-08-28
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$23K
Verified lifetime PnL
$916KVolume
46.5%Win rate (sample) · n=398
2.54%PnL ÷ Volume
$427-day PnL
$46030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$23.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$91partial
Liquidity rewards$929
2.54% ROI36.6% Win rate · n=506
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$14.6K · loses the most in Finance -$203
Top 5 winning markets
- +$944Who will win young men?Politics · Trump
- +$640Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?Weather · Yes
- +$551Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$524Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?Weather · Yes
- +$508Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$203WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?Finance · Up
- -$202Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 8?Weather · Yes
- -$115Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?Weather · Yes
- -$101Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?Weather · Yes
- -$89.98Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 19?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 108 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$824). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$23KVerified lifetime PnL
$23KEarned off the board
7Days on board
$404Board-day sum
$427-day PnL
$46030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $132 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $148 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $123 |
Which boards
Weather 7
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $91 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$91
Maker rebate$91
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-09-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$404
Verified lifetime PnL$23K
Verification gap$23K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)