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0xaa7e5c893b23e264b9d11a7fe8e421d459ee0332
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 16% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 16%Verified PnL#523 of 624
Beats 37%30-day PnL#373 of 594
Beats 2%Win rate#576 of 592
Beats 16%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#520 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-18
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.94MVolume
25.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$1,999
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $21only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$137partial
Liquidity rewards$8
-0.10% ROI12.9% Win rate · n=801
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$10.3K · loses the most in Politics -$452
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,172Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,404Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,145Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,039Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$956Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$399Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$389Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$245Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$231Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$227Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KBelow board-day sum
15Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $32 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Culture 10Sports 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $137 (49% maker / 51% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$137
Maker rebate$67
Taker rebate$70
Maker share49%
Taker share51%
Window2026-04-05 → 2026-10-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL-$2K
Verification gap-$10K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)