ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsLex-tang
0xaa930fdc4caa3c0f6067404a7bd7899ca45f0bc7
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 34% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 34%Verified PnL#406 of 624
Beats 50%30-day PnL#297 of 594
Beats 3%Win rate#572 of 592
Beats 44%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#346 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board32
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-22
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$19K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.97MVolume
27%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.73%PnL ÷ Volume
$4007-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$19.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$886partial
Liquidity rewards$827
0.99% ROI24.8% Win rate · n=436
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$34.9K · loses the most in Sports -$488
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,280Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?Weather · Yes
- +$730Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?Weather · Yes
- +$662Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?Weather · Yes
- +$612Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?Weather · Yes
- +$607Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$245Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 31?Weather · Yes
- -$224Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?Weather · Yes
- -$223Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?Weather · Yes
- -$188Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?Weather · Yes
- -$184Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 16?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$19KVerified lifetime PnL
$16KEarned off the board
32Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$4007-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $68 |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $161 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $347 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $734 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $713 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $154 |
Which boards
Weather 32
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
80% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $886 (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio80%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$886
Maker rebate$872
Taker rebate$14
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$19K
Verification gap$16K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)