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Hexagon555
0xaa98a97f71cbe19348798775b23696c9baa290bb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 11% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 11%Verified PnL#553 of 624
Beats 23%30-day PnL#454 of 594
Beats 31%Win rate#404 of 592
Beats 11%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#550 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board25
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-24
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$23K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.24MVolume
53.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.60%PnL ÷ Volume
$3077-day PnL
-$54130-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$22.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $814only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,676partial
Liquidity rewards$8,126
-0.54% ROI51.3% Win rate · n=415
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Finance -$9,801
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,996S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?Finance · Up
- +$1,677WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?Finance · Down
- +$1,393Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,331Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,249Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,190WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?Finance · Up
- -$2,319Will Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?Politics · No
- -$2,307Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsSports · Nongshim RedForce
- -$2,305WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 8?Finance · Down / Up
- -$2,295Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$23KVerified lifetime PnL
$29KBelow board-day sum
25Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$3077-day PnL
-$54130-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $116 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $196 |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $623 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $308 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $84 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $44 |
Which boards
Finance 18Mentions 6Culture 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
84% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (93% maker / 7% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio84%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$180
Maker share93%
Taker share7%
Window2026-02-08 → 2026-10-14
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL-$23K
Verification gap-$29K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)